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Red261
3011118.9
1388140.5
2710148.9
Blue253
5012138.9
6825108.6
399183.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823120100200400500600261253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.91.5
127.9129.4
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
blue by 34.3
399
#17
183.23.4
158.9162.3
Auto19.4
Teleop134.6
End31.5
Second
1388
#10
140.515.5
78.994.4
Auto15.8
Teleop106.7
End17.4
red by 1.7
5012
#21
138.91.1
135.9134.8
Auto19.2
Teleop105.2
End13.3
Third
3011
#35
118.914.8
85.1100.0
Auto18.2
Teleop93.5
End4.8
red by 10.4
6825
#41
108.69.8
77.787.5
Auto17.4
Teleop77.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed