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Red238
682196.3
6826102.5
3965131.3
Blue353
3495129.8
4501112.8
6957109.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234312100200400500238353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3965
#28
131.30.1
125.9125.8
Auto17.9
Teleop93.6
End21.2
red by 1.5
3495
#34
129.82.1
118.9121.0
Auto15.5
Teleop99.3
End18.3
Second
6826
#39
102.50.9
107.0106.1
Auto15.3
Teleop80.9
End7.8
blue by 10.3
4501
#30
112.82.6
115.7118.4
Auto17.8
Teleop84.9
End8.6
Third
6821
#43
96.30.0
100.2100.2
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
blue by 13.1
6957
#32
109.41.6
109.8108.2
Auto15.2
Teleop81.5
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed