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Qual 532018 Las Vegas Regional
Red449
6825108.6
5285159.3
3255183.7
Blue299
3965131.3
5429142.5
842198.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325354100200400500600449299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#2
183.71.5
172.3→173.7
Auto23.5
Teleop133.2
End27.4
blue by 14.9
842
#3
198.61.7
190.1→191.8
Auto27.9
Teleop143.7
End27.0
Second
5285
#5
159.31.7
147.9→149.6
Auto22.1
Teleop119.4
End19.0
red by 16.8
5429
#22
142.50.5
144.1→143.6
Auto16.5
Teleop107.7
End18.5
Third
6825
#41
108.60.2
102.9→103.1
Auto17.4
Teleop77.3
End14.8
blue by 22.8
3965
#28
131.30.2
125.9→125.8
Auto17.9
Teleop93.6
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed