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Red424
842198.6
6411169.1
3495129.8
Blue244
5875105.8
3009146.8
687166.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398266100200300500600424244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#3
198.61.1
191.8192.8
Auto27.9
Teleop143.7
End27.0
red by 31.7
687
#7
166.90.8
159.0159.8
Auto28.6
Teleop122.2
End18.8
Second
6411
#15
169.12.0
162.8164.7
Auto17.5
Teleop130.1
End21.8
red by 22.3
146.82.4
139.3141.7
Auto16.1
Teleop115.1
End14.2
Third
3495
#34
129.80.5
123.2123.7
Auto15.5
Teleop99.3
End18.3
red by 24.0
5875
#37
105.80.4
110.6110.1
Auto16.7
Teleop82.2
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed