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Red268
3577122.7
504994.4
5012138.9
Blue442
2485172.1
2543137.2
6826102.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2313390100200300400500600268442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5012
#21
138.90.8
136.9136.2
Auto19.2
Teleop105.2
End13.3
blue by 33.3
172.11.6
165.1166.7
Auto24.7
Teleop127.3
End24.1
Second
3577
#29
122.71.8
118.0119.7
Auto15.8
Teleop89.4
End21.7
blue by 14.4
137.21.6
130.0131.6
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End17.2
Third
5049
#44
94.41.1
90.191.2
Auto12.0
Teleop71.6
End13.5
blue by 8.2
6826
#39
102.51.7
103.9102.2
Auto15.3
Teleop80.9
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned