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Qual 772018 Las Vegas Regional
Red197
682196.3
399183.2
5875105.8
Blue327
6825108.6
2429111.6
3965131.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3462490100200300400500600197327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#17
183.21.3
181.8→183.1
Auto19.4
Teleop134.6
End31.5
red by 51.8
3965
#28
131.30.9
125.9→126.8
Auto17.9
Teleop93.6
End21.2
Second
5875
#37
105.82.0
109.5→107.5
Auto16.7
Teleop82.2
End10.8
blue by 5.8
2429
#33
111.60.2
109.9→110.1
Auto16.2
Teleop86.5
End13.2
Third
6821
#43
96.30.4
97.2→96.8
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
blue by 12.3
6825
#41
108.60.0
107.3→107.3
Auto17.4
Teleop77.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed