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Red134
4501112.8
3011118.9
399183.2
Blue421
2647116.9
2659174.5
842198.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513980100200300500600134421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#17
183.20.7
183.1183.8
Auto19.4
Teleop134.6
End31.5
blue by 15.4
842
#3
198.61.2
194.7196.0
Auto27.9
Teleop143.7
End27.0
Second
3011
#35
118.92.4
121.4118.9
Auto18.2
Teleop93.5
End4.8
blue by 55.5
2659
#16
174.50.0
174.5174.5
Auto28.5
Teleop124.0
End20.4
Third
4501
#30
112.82.1
114.9112.8
Auto17.8
Teleop84.9
End8.6
blue by 4.1
2647
#27
116.92.0
118.9116.9
Auto17.4
Teleop88.3
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed