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Red195
3419149.4
354151.0
5123113.6
Blue397
395150.5
2601144.7
806117.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335312200250400450500550195397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#9
151.00.0
151.0151.0
Auto21.6
Teleop115.7
End14.1
red by 0.5
395
#6
150.50.0
150.5150.5
Auto20.7
Teleop117.4
End12.8
Second
149.40.0
149.4149.4
Auto20.3
Teleop116.2
End15.3
red by 4.7
144.70.0
144.7144.7
Auto22.9
Teleop106.4
End19.6
Third
5123
#15
113.60.0
113.6113.6
Auto18.5
Teleop87.1
End7.7
blue by 4.1
806
#8
117.60.0
117.6117.6
Auto19.5
Teleop85.6
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest odds76%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds