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Red465
3015178.6
1796226.3
810143.1
Blue253
870189.7
3171176.7
1468139.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420355100200300500600700465253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226.30.4
225.8226.3
Auto29.5
Teleop168.1
End28.6
red by 36.5
870
#3
189.70.5
189.2189.7
Auto25.3
Teleop131.0
End34.2
Second
178.60.4
178.1178.6
Auto23.1
Teleop128.9
End28.3
red by 1.8
176.70.5
176.3176.7
Auto20.2
Teleop130.6
End27.1
Third
810
#34
143.10.3
142.7143.1
Auto18.3
Teleop100.5
End24.9
red by 3.3
1468
#27
139.80.2
139.6139.8
Auto21.6
Teleop102.8
End15.2