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Red264
533162.2
5599123.0
7201119.1
Blue482
287162.7
1796226.3
870189.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2034440100300400500600264482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#19
162.21.2
156.0157.1
Auto18.6
Teleop122.0
End21.6
blue by 64.1
226.31.8
205.4207.2
Auto29.5
Teleop168.1
End28.6
Second
5599
#24
123.00.9
111.4112.3
Auto14.6
Teleop98.4
End8.5
blue by 66.7
870
#3
189.71.7
158.2159.8
Auto25.3
Teleop131.0
End34.2
Third
7201
#29
119.141.3
119.177.7
Auto16.7
Teleop86.6
End15.8
blue by 43.6
287
#5
162.70.3
147.5147.8
Auto17.2
Teleop121.3
End26.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned