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Red404
1635130.8
4050143.8
5806123.3
Blue255
806117.6
1468139.8
334131.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333291200400500600404255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4050
#14
143.80.3
143.7144.1
Auto17.4
Teleop103.1
End24.5
red by 4.0
1468
#27
139.81.7
128.1129.9
Auto21.6
Teleop102.8
End15.2
Second
1635
#20
130.810.0
97.7107.8
Auto18.4
Teleop98.2
End16.3
blue by 1.2
334
#30
131.92.0
123.8125.9
Auto17.6
Teleop104.0
End13.3
Third
5806
#25
123.30.0
134.5134.6
Auto19.9
Teleop93.0
End9.8
red by 5.7
806
#28
117.60.2
103.6103.4
Auto19.5
Teleop85.6
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed