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Red362
4567116.4
2872114.7
6806133.4
Blue354
1751113.5
160192.7
1796226.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1914160100300500600700800362354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6806
#33
133.40.1
128.3128.2
Auto19.6
Teleop99.7
End14.8
blue by 92.9
226.32.2
207.2209.4
Auto29.5
Teleop168.1
End28.6
Second
4567
#38
116.410.8
91.0101.8
Auto15.6
Teleop89.3
End11.5
red by 2.9
1751
#37
113.511.1
86.998.0
Auto14.5
Teleop82.0
End15.6
Third
2872
#16
114.70.8
99.798.9
Auto17.9
Teleop85.4
End12.5
red by 22.0
1601
#40
92.714.2
82.496.5
Auto12.6
Teleop74.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed