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Red171
4006126.1
1751113.5
6636108.9
Blue458
527166.5
3015178.6
2487131.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2164070100300500600700171458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4006
#41
126.17.9
108.6116.5
Auto16.4
Teleop87.5
End22.0
blue by 52.5
178.61.4
156.0157.3
Auto23.1
Teleop128.9
End28.3
Second
1751
#37
113.55.8
98.0103.9
Auto14.5
Teleop82.0
End15.6
blue by 52.9
527
#6
166.51.1
149.7150.8
Auto20.3
Teleop123.3
End22.6
Third
6636
#23
108.90.5
102.6102.1
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.1
blue by 22.1
2487
#17
131.09.2
105.0114.3
Auto16.9
Teleop98.5
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed