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Red279
1751113.5
4050143.8
4528117.8
Blue165
160192.7
545110.1
329141.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297291200250350400279165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4050
#14
143.80.1
145.8145.7
Auto17.4
Teleop103.1
End24.5
red by 2.0
329
#15
141.80.8
143.2144.0
Auto15.6
Teleop106.4
End17.8
Second
4528
#43
117.83.0
105.1108.1
Auto14.7
Teleop91.6
End7.0
red by 7.6
545
#36
110.14.2
106.8111.0
Auto18.0
Teleop75.3
End18.6
Third
1751
#37
113.51.5
107.5109.0
Auto14.5
Teleop82.0
End15.6
red by 20.8
1601
#40
92.71.4
105.8104.3
Auto12.6
Teleop74.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed