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Red263
1635130.8
353155.7
1468139.8
Blue408
369157.8
2872114.7
263157.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32433102004006008001,000263408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#7
155.71.1
141.8142.9
Auto18.9
Teleop111.9
End28.8
blue by 2.2
369
#12
157.80.2
155.7155.5
Auto16.8
Teleop126.8
End15.1
Second
1468
#27
139.81.4
132.7134.1
Auto21.6
Teleop102.8
End15.2
blue by 17.6
263
#8
157.42.1
147.0149.2
Auto19.8
Teleop119.7
End18.6
Third
1635
#20
130.82.4
120.6123.0
Auto18.4
Teleop98.2
End16.3
red by 16.1
2872
#16
114.71.3
100.3101.5
Auto17.9
Teleop85.4
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed