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Red410
5736139.4
287162.7
6422136.2
Blue195
496101.2
6636108.9
6806133.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3981800100300500600410195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#5
162.71.5
151.6153.1
Auto17.2
Teleop121.3
End26.7
red by 29.3
6806
#33
133.40.3
128.5128.2
Auto19.6
Teleop99.7
End14.8
Second
5736
#31DQ
139.41.8
121.6123.4
Auto25.2
Teleop92.6
End21.3
red by 30.5
6636
#23
108.90.5
101.9102.4
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.1
Third
6422
#18
136.21.0
136.9135.9
Auto19.3
Teleop94.5
End22.9
red by 35.0
496
#39
101.23.5
108.3104.8
Auto14.8
Teleop78.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed