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Red338
527166.5
271138.4
2641132.4
Blue387
353155.7
806117.6
623296.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384283100200500600338387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#6
166.50.8
153.8154.6
Auto20.3
Teleop123.3
End22.6
red by 10.8
353
#7
155.70.7
142.9143.6
Auto18.9
Teleop111.9
End28.8
Second
271
#9
138.41.6
126.6128.2
Auto19.3
Teleop96.3
End24.4
red by 20.8
806
#28
117.61.5
105.9107.3
Auto19.5
Teleop85.6
End13.4
Third
2641
#26
132.41.4
123.3124.7
Auto18.1
Teleop86.9
End28.0
red by 35.5
6232
#35
96.90.9
94.595.4
Auto14.9
Teleop72.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed