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Red483
6422136.2
369157.8
334131.9
Blue138
3950120.8
806117.6
1554102.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3692050100300400500483138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#12
157.80.4
151.6152.0
Auto16.8
Teleop126.8
End15.1
red by 37.0
3950
#32
120.80.0
121.8121.8
Auto15.4
Teleop91.2
End13.1
Second
6422
#18
136.20.9
138.7137.8
Auto19.3
Teleop94.5
End22.9
red by 18.6
806
#28
117.60.7
102.9103.6
Auto19.5
Teleop85.6
End13.4
Third
334
#30
131.91.2
122.7123.8
Auto17.6
Teleop104.0
End13.3
red by 29.0
1554
#44
102.917.5
60.978.4
Auto15.8
Teleop79.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed