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Red461
3015178.6
353155.7
160192.7
Blue245
7201119.1
1554102.9
6422136.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3542530100200300400500600461245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.61.8
162.9164.8
Auto23.1
Teleop128.9
End28.3
red by 42.3
6422
#18
136.20.5
135.8135.3
Auto19.3
Teleop94.5
End22.9
Second
353
#7
155.71.6
144.9146.6
Auto18.9
Teleop111.9
End28.8
red by 36.6
7201
#29
119.13.3
108.1111.5
Auto16.7
Teleop86.6
End15.8
Third
1601
#40
92.71.3
96.895.5
Auto12.6
Teleop74.5
End7.6
blue by 10.2
1554
#44
102.91.2
107.4108.6
Auto15.8
Teleop79.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed