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Red226
4006126.1
334131.9
287162.7
Blue420
2875148.7
6806133.4
369157.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3363070100200400500600700226420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#5
162.71.3
156.6157.8
Auto17.2
Teleop121.3
End26.7
red by 4.8
369
#12
157.81.3
157.2155.9
Auto16.8
Teleop126.8
End15.1
Second
334
#30
131.90.7
130.5131.1
Auto17.6
Teleop104.0
End13.3
blue by 16.8
2875
#10
148.70.4
144.6145.0
Auto18.2
Teleop115.4
End15.2
Third
4006
#41
126.10.0
129.9129.9
Auto16.4
Teleop87.5
End22.0
blue by 7.3
6806
#33
133.40.3
129.4129.7
Auto19.6
Teleop99.7
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed