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Red532
334131.9
527166.5
870189.7
Blue241
2872114.7
6422136.2
601137.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262370100200300500600700800532241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#3
189.71.9
179.2181.1
Auto25.3
Teleop131.0
End34.2
red by 52.5
601
#11
137.21.1
132.2133.3
Auto16.0
Teleop103.4
End17.1
Second
527
#6
166.51.5
159.4160.9
Auto20.3
Teleop123.3
End22.6
red by 30.2
6422
#18
136.20.4
135.1135.5
Auto19.3
Teleop94.5
End22.9
Third
334
#30
131.90.1
131.1131.2
Auto17.6
Teleop104.0
End13.3
red by 17.2
2872
#16
114.71.5
105.8107.3
Auto17.9
Teleop85.4
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed