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Red231
545110.1
4458152.4
2875148.7
Blue418
2641132.4
1468139.8
1796226.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2964170100200500600700231418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
#22
152.41.3
149.3150.6
Auto18.7
Teleop109.7
End25.3
blue by 73.8
226.32.0
217.9220.0
Auto29.5
Teleop168.1
End28.6
Second
2875
#10
148.71.5
145.0146.5
Auto18.2
Teleop115.4
End15.2
red by 8.9
1468
#27
139.80.3
137.5137.8
Auto21.6
Teleop102.8
End15.2
Third
545
#36
110.10.2
110.4110.6
Auto18.0
Teleop75.3
End18.6
blue by 22.2
2641
#26
132.40.9
127.8128.7
Auto18.1
Teleop86.9
End28.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed