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Red440
6636108.9
5806123.3
3015178.6
Blue323
271138.4
2875148.7
1635130.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325341150200250300400450500440323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.63.0
170.0173.0
Auto23.1
Teleop128.9
End28.3
red by 29.9
2875
#10
148.70.6
146.5147.1
Auto18.2
Teleop115.4
End15.2
Second
5806
#25
123.31.0
124.8123.7
Auto19.9
Teleop93.0
End9.8
blue by 15.0
271
#9
138.41.7
133.0134.7
Auto19.3
Teleop96.3
End24.4
Third
6636
#23
108.91.4
105.8107.2
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.1
blue by 21.8
1635
#20
130.81.8
126.9128.8
Auto18.4
Teleop98.2
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed