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Red199
4050143.8
1554102.9
6746123.3
Blue434
3950120.8
2641132.4
3171176.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2583630100200300400500600199434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4050
#14
143.80.8
144.6143.8
Auto17.4
Teleop103.1
End24.5
blue by 33.0
176.72.5
167.7170.3
Auto20.2
Teleop130.6
End27.1
Second
6746
#13
123.30.4
122.6123.0
Auto19.1
Teleop90.0
End16.2
blue by 9.0
2641
#26
132.40.7
128.7129.4
Auto18.1
Teleop86.9
End28.0
Third
1554
#44
102.92.9
107.6104.7
Auto15.8
Teleop79.7
End5.2
blue by 17.9
3950
#32
120.80.1
120.3120.2
Auto15.4
Teleop91.2
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsMissed