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Red415
870189.7
2872114.7
160192.7
Blue197
6422136.2
329141.8
6636108.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318318200250300350400415197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#3
189.71.8
181.1182.9
Auto25.3
Teleop131.0
End34.2
red by 47.9
329
#15
141.80.3
142.7143.0
Auto15.6
Teleop106.4
End17.8
Second
2872
#16
114.71.5
107.3108.8
Auto17.9
Teleop85.4
End12.5
blue by 21.5
6422
#18
136.20.7
135.5136.2
Auto19.3
Teleop94.5
End22.9
Third
1601
#40
92.72.5
95.693.1
Auto12.6
Teleop74.5
End7.6
blue by 16.2
6636
#23
108.91.5
107.2108.7
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed