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Red350
4458152.4
7201119.1
3015178.6
Blue417
369157.8
2641132.4
4050143.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385325100200500600700350417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.62.9
173.0175.8
Auto23.1
Teleop128.9
End28.3
red by 20.7
369
#12
157.80.4
156.3156.7
Auto16.8
Teleop126.8
End15.1
Second
4458
#22
152.41.1
151.1152.2
Auto18.7
Teleop109.7
End25.3
red by 8.7
4050
#14
143.80.6
143.8143.2
Auto17.4
Teleop103.1
End24.5
Third
7201
#29
119.10.9
118.2119.1
Auto16.7
Teleop86.6
End15.8
blue by 13.3
2641
#26
132.41.2
129.4130.7
Auto18.1
Teleop86.9
End28.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed