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Red433
469154.3
3646187.0
2234118.8
Blue329
2638170.5
533156.0
6423127.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388320100200500600433329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.00.8
186.2187.0
Auto26.8
Teleop138.8
End23.3
red by 16.5
2638
#12
170.50.4
170.1170.5
Auto18.7
Teleop125.7
End28.6
Second
469
#10
154.30.4
153.9154.3
Auto18.4
Teleop109.1
End27.3
blue by 1.6
533
#2
156.00.4
155.5156.0
Auto17.6
Teleop119.3
End21.3
Third
2234
#21
118.80.1
118.8118.8
Auto17.5
Teleop86.6
End16.6
blue by 8.2
6423
#18
127.10.4
126.7127.1
Auto17.2
Teleop97.8
End15.4