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Quarterfinal 3-22018 SBPLI Long Island Regional #1
Red301
2638170.5
533156.0
6423127.1
Blue327
2869135.5
5659139.0
1546125.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398292100200500600301327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#12
170.50.3
168.4→168.8
Auto18.7
Teleop125.7
End28.6
red by 31.5
5659
#8
139.00.1
138.8→138.8
Auto19.7
Teleop95.8
End24.4
Second
533
#2
156.00.4
153.6→154.0
Auto17.6
Teleop119.3
End21.3
red by 20.5
2869
#9
135.50.7
134.0→134.7
Auto19.0
Teleop99.4
End20.1
Third
6423
#18
127.10.4
124.8→125.2
Auto17.2
Teleop97.8
End15.4
red by 2.1
1546
#27
125.00.1
124.7→124.8
Auto14.5
Teleop90.8
End18.7