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Red290
514137.2
3137159.0
6806128.9
Blue275
5016124.1
296137.4
2914119.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370278200400500600290275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.00.3
158.3158.6
Auto18.9
Teleop116.0
End25.9
red by 21.7
296
#7
137.40.4
135.8136.2
Auto18.1
Teleop101.6
End17.8
Second
514
#5
137.20.3
136.5136.8
Auto17.4
Teleop97.0
End23.3
red by 13.0
5016
#25
124.10.2
125.1124.9
Auto15.3
Teleop98.0
End9.9
Third
6806
#16
128.90.0
129.0129.0
Auto17.8
Teleop97.7
End11.9
red by 9.9
2914
#20
119.00.5
116.8117.3
Auto16.1
Teleop91.1
End14.1