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Red237
6636103.8
514137.2
1546125.0
Blue531
3624146.8
533156.0
5659139.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763200100200400500600237531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
514
#5
137.20.1
128.8128.7
Auto17.4
Teleop97.0
End23.3
blue by 18.8
533
#2
156.00.5
132.2132.7
Auto17.6
Teleop119.3
End21.3
Second
1546
#27
125.015.1
80.495.5
Auto14.5
Teleop90.8
End18.7
blue by 21.9
146.80.1
124.4124.5
Auto21.0
Teleop107.4
End20.6
Third
6636
#29
103.89.7
81.791.4
Auto14.1
Teleop75.9
End12.4
blue by 35.2
139.01.0
134.8133.8
Auto19.7
Teleop95.8
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsEarned