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Red374
2869135.5
296137.4
1803122.6
Blue429
871126.7
1468126.4
2638170.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262319100200400500600374429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
296
#7
137.41.8
126.6128.4
Auto18.1
Teleop101.6
End17.8
blue by 33.1
2638
#12
170.51.8
150.1151.9
Auto18.7
Teleop125.7
End28.6
Second
135.51.5
112.2113.7
Auto19.0
Teleop99.4
End20.1
red by 8.8
871
#15
126.77.0
100.4107.4
Auto17.0
Teleop103.5
End5.8
Third
1803
#28
122.66.7
86.893.5
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End17.8
blue by 3.8
1468
#11
126.45.7
102.0107.6
Auto19.0
Teleop94.6
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed