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Red152
352102.0
6806128.9
469154.3
Blue452
3624146.8
5016124.1
3137159.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291322100200400500600152452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#10
154.31.0
147.8148.9
Auto18.4
Teleop109.1
End27.3
blue by 4.7
159.09.9
108.7118.7
Auto18.9
Teleop116.0
End25.9
Second
6806
#16
128.91.3
117.3118.6
Auto17.8
Teleop97.7
End11.9
blue by 18.0
146.81.6
124.5126.0
Auto21.0
Teleop107.4
End20.6
Third
352
#33
102.03.4
92.195.5
Auto16.3
Teleop72.7
End12.9
blue by 22.1
5016
#25
124.10.3
125.9126.2
Auto15.3
Teleop98.0
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed