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Red336
2347110.6
709136.8
569117.7
Blue239
564107.8
5099143.0
3624146.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252304100200400500336239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
709
#14
136.80.8
132.1133.0
Auto19.0
Teleop99.9
End16.4
blue by 10.0
146.82.4
126.0128.4
Auto21.0
Teleop107.4
End20.6
Second
569
#31
117.71.4
94.095.4
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End9.8
blue by 25.3
5099
#13
143.011.4
107.0118.3
Auto16.4
Teleop113.1
End16.1
Third
2347
#23
110.67.6
93.4101.0
Auto16.4
Teleop86.4
End7.9
red by 2.8
564
#30
107.80.7
101.2100.5
Auto16.0
Teleop82.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed