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Red349
2914119.0
2869135.5
2638170.5
Blue394
271118.8
1546125.0
3646187.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289336100200400500600700349394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#12
170.52.6
151.9154.5
Auto18.7
Teleop125.7
End28.6
blue by 16.5
187.00.9
165.3166.2
Auto26.8
Teleop138.8
End23.3
Second
135.52.5
113.7116.3
Auto19.0
Teleop99.4
End20.1
red by 10.5
1546
#27
125.07.8
105.4113.2
Auto14.5
Teleop90.8
End18.7
Third
2914
#20
119.01.9
117.6115.7
Auto16.1
Teleop91.1
End14.1
red by 0.2
271
#19
118.80.4
111.3111.6
Auto16.3
Teleop86.9
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed