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Red289
514137.2
1803122.6
271118.8
Blue202
871126.7
2347110.6
522104.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26929102004006008001,0001,2001,400289202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
514
#5
137.20.2
130.5130.7
Auto17.4
Teleop97.0
End23.3
red by 10.4
871
#15
126.74.9
121.4126.4
Auto17.0
Teleop103.5
End5.8
Second
1803
#28
122.63.9
107.8111.7
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End17.8
red by 12.0
2347
#23
110.63.4
108.6112.0
Auto16.4
Teleop86.4
End7.9
Third
271
#19
118.80.4
112.5112.9
Auto16.3
Teleop86.9
End19.0
red by 13.9
522
#32
104.90.0
106.9106.9
Auto13.4
Teleop80.2
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed