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Red270
564107.8
28128.9
469154.3
Blue260
522104.9
2869135.5
6806128.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172930100200400500600700270260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#10
154.30.3
148.8148.5
Auto18.4
Teleop109.1
End27.3
red by 18.9
135.52.5
121.7124.2
Auto19.0
Teleop99.4
End20.1
Second
28
#17
128.93.0
120.4123.4
Auto18.9
Teleop90.8
End17.4
Level
6806
#16
128.91.0
122.5123.5
Auto17.8
Teleop97.7
End11.9
Third
564
#30
107.81.9
102.6104.5
Auto16.0
Teleop82.9
End10.4
red by 3.0
522
#32
104.92.0
106.9104.9
Auto13.4
Teleop80.2
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed