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Red447
352102.0
569117.7
3137159.0
Blue284
5659139.0
2638170.5
6911119.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953320100200400500600700447284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.06.1
143.3149.5
Auto18.9
Teleop116.0
End25.9
blue by 11.4
2638
#12
170.52.4
159.5162.0
Auto18.7
Teleop125.7
End28.6
Second
569
#31
117.72.8
107.6110.4
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End9.8
blue by 21.3
139.00.8
138.0138.7
Auto19.7
Teleop95.8
End24.4
Third
352
#33
102.03.4
93.196.5
Auto16.3
Teleop72.7
End12.9
blue by 17.7
6911
#24
119.81.3
120.1118.8
Auto17.5
Teleop92.0
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed