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Red376
2638170.5
2347110.6
514137.2
Blue213
569117.7
1803122.6
3646187.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27633905001,0001,5002,0002,500376213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#12
170.51.6
147.0148.6
Auto18.7
Teleop125.7
End28.6
blue by 16.5
187.01.8
162.5164.4
Auto26.8
Teleop138.8
End23.3
Second
514
#5
137.20.6
129.4128.8
Auto17.4
Teleop97.0
End23.3
red by 14.6
1803
#28
122.617.6
60.077.6
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End17.8
Third
2347
#23
110.617.2
64.081.1
Auto16.4
Teleop86.4
End7.9
blue by 7.1
569
#31
117.716.6
68.985.5
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed