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Red269
6952118.6
271118.8
2347110.6
Blue431
2869135.5
469154.3
6636103.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423310100200300400500600269431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
#19
118.80.1
114.3114.4
Auto16.3
Teleop86.9
End19.0
blue by 35.6
469
#10
154.30.5
148.3148.8
Auto18.4
Teleop109.1
End27.3
Second
6952
#34
118.60.0
115.7115.6
Auto14.1
Teleop91.2
End18.9
blue by 16.8
135.51.2
126.3127.5
Auto19.0
Teleop99.4
End20.1
Third
2347
#23
110.61.2
111.6110.3
Auto16.4
Teleop86.4
End7.9
red by 6.8
6636
#29
103.80.4
100.9100.5
Auto14.1
Teleop75.9
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed