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Red268
2638170.5
352102.0
564107.8
Blue352
514137.2
2914119.0
6952118.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318300150200250350400450500268352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#12
170.51.4
164.0165.4
Auto18.7
Teleop125.7
End28.6
red by 33.3
514
#5
137.21.0
133.1134.1
Auto17.4
Teleop97.0
End23.3
Second
564
#30
107.80.6
106.0106.6
Auto16.0
Teleop82.9
End10.4
blue by 11.1
2914
#20
119.00.4
114.6114.2
Auto16.1
Teleop91.1
End14.1
Third
352
#33
102.02.3
96.598.8
Auto16.3
Teleop72.7
End12.9
blue by 16.6
6952
#34
118.60.5
115.6116.2
Auto14.1
Teleop91.2
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed