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Red349
358147.8
2914119.0
5099143.0
Blue162
1803122.6
3624146.8
6806128.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329305100200400500349162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#4
147.80.9
144.8145.7
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End21.2
red by 0.9
146.82.5
140.8143.3
Auto21.0
Teleop107.4
End20.6
Second
5099
#13
143.00.8
139.3140.1
Auto16.4
Teleop113.1
End16.1
red by 14.1
6806
#16
128.91.1
127.7128.8
Auto17.8
Teleop97.7
End11.9
Third
2914
#20
119.01.0
114.5115.5
Auto16.1
Teleop91.1
End14.1
blue by 3.6
1803
#28
122.60.3
123.7124.0
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed