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Red285
1803122.6
3137159.0
871126.7
Blue243
3646187.0
6952118.6
2234118.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443240100200400500600285243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.013.9
94.8108.7
Auto18.9
Teleop116.0
End25.9
blue by 27.9
187.00.5
164.4164.9
Auto26.8
Teleop138.8
End23.3
Second
871
#15
126.79.6
90.8100.4
Auto17.0
Teleop103.5
End5.8
red by 7.9
2234
#21
118.81.6
116.5118.2
Auto17.5
Teleop86.6
End16.6
Third
1803
#28
122.69.2
77.686.8
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End17.8
red by 3.9
6952
#34
118.60.2
114.9114.7
Auto14.1
Teleop91.2
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed