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Red359
469154.3
3646187.0
2234118.8
Blue254
5099143.0
3624146.8
569117.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386290100200500600359254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.00.8
184.0184.7
Auto26.8
Teleop138.8
End23.3
red by 40.2
146.80.6
145.7146.3
Auto21.0
Teleop107.4
End20.6
Second
469
#10
154.30.4
152.8153.1
Auto18.4
Teleop109.1
End27.3
red by 11.4
5099
#13
143.00.5
142.1142.5
Auto16.4
Teleop113.1
End16.1
Third
2234
#21
118.80.0
118.7118.7
Auto17.5
Teleop86.6
End16.6
red by 1.1
569
#31
117.70.5
116.7117.2
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End9.8