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Quarterfinal 3-12018 New York City Regional
Red354
369151.6
333158.8
6590132.6
Blue197
2344133.5
6353126.0
5421131.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3752660100200300500600354197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#3
158.81.0
152.5→153.5
Auto22.8
Teleop121.0
End16.0
red by 25.3
2344
#19
133.50.2
133.9→133.7
Auto17.9
Teleop97.1
End18.6
Second
369
#12
151.60.1
150.6→150.7
Auto18.0
Teleop122.9
End10.4
red by 20.2
5421
#17
131.40.4
130.6→131.0
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End13.7
Third
6590
#20
132.60.1
131.5→131.6
Auto20.1
Teleop98.7
End14.8
red by 6.5
6353
#8
126.00.3
125.4→125.8
Auto20.2
Teleop98.1
End9.4