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Red188
4263124.4
6195103.9
33598.8
Blue299
123097.7
7036106.7
5665124.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251260100150200300350400188299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4263
#14
124.417.3
63.180.3
Auto18.8
Teleop92.5
End13.9
red by 0.3
5665
#22
124.10.2
112.1111.9
Auto15.6
Teleop87.3
End19.9
Second
6195
#50
103.918.5
52.571.0
Auto15.3
Teleop76.1
End13.1
blue by 2.9
7036
#35
106.729.0
106.777.7
Auto16.6
Teleop83.8
End3.7
Third
335
#40
98.817.8
58.276.0
Auto13.1
Teleop76.6
End12.5
red by 1.2
1230
#18
97.718.2
55.473.5
Auto14.4
Teleop75.7
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed