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Red257
5806134.7
4263124.4
5891126.4
Blue356
1796205.4
6593115.1
3760113.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623280200400600800257356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5806
#24
134.79.6
99.7109.3
Auto20.6
Teleop98.8
End16.8
blue by 70.7
205.41.8
179.4181.2
Auto28.5
Teleop150.3
End27.0
Second
5891
#38
126.47.4
102.7110.1
Auto14.8
Teleop98.3
End14.0
red by 11.3
115.16.8
92.098.8
Auto18.4
Teleop85.9
End11.4
Third
4263
#14
124.411.3
91.5102.8
Auto18.8
Teleop92.5
End13.9
red by 10.5
3760
#25
113.96.6
92.198.7
Auto16.5
Teleop88.1
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed