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Red352
1660139.1
5421131.4
1155138.9
Blue190
4773106.7
2895118.4
5781120.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3272530100200400500600352190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1660
#16
139.10.2
138.5138.3
Auto23.8
Teleop100.2
End15.4
red by 19.0
5781
#15
120.19.7
92.2101.9
Auto20.0
Teleop87.3
End14.2
Second
1155
#13
138.90.3
132.4132.1
Auto17.2
Teleop107.2
End17.7
red by 20.5
2895
#39
118.48.2
87.896.0
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End14.2
Third
5421
#17
131.410.8
97.5108.3
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End13.7
red by 24.7
4773
#45
106.78.7
90.098.7
Auto16.4
Teleop83.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed