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Red135
4299113.5
529893.6
354151.0
Blue447
5421131.4
3004103.3
694207.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2083720100300500600700135447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#5
151.02.0
135.3137.3
Auto21.6
Teleop115.7
End14.1
blue by 56.1
694
#1
207.12.6
193.8196.4
Auto27.4
Teleop151.6
End26.6
Second
4299
#28
113.54.1
102.6106.7
Auto14.1
Teleop86.1
End16.0
blue by 17.9
5421
#17
131.46.2
116.6122.8
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End13.7
Third
5298
#34
93.61.1
100.799.6
Auto14.1
Teleop76.1
End6.5
blue by 9.7
3004
#31
103.31.9
97.895.9
Auto14.3
Teleop85.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed