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Red185
6648102.7
5665124.1
687394.0
Blue305
3760113.9
6353126.0
2895118.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253291100150200350400450185305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#22
124.11.7
115.2116.9
Auto15.6
Teleop87.3
End19.9
blue by 2.0
126.02.9
114.7117.6
Auto20.2
Teleop98.1
End9.4
Second
6648
#43
102.74.2
98.7102.9
Auto13.7
Teleop77.2
End13.3
blue by 15.7
2895
#39
118.43.0
100.6103.6
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End14.2
Third
6873
#51
94.01.7
95.794.0
Auto13.3
Teleop74.5
End9.5
blue by 20.0
3760
#25
113.95.0
105.0110.0
Auto16.5
Teleop88.1
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed