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Red450
2895118.4
2579115.5
395150.5
Blue152
4299113.5
33598.8
334122.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286252100200400450152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#11
150.51.1
142.8143.9
Auto20.7
Teleop117.4
End12.8
red by 27.8
334
#10
122.74.1
114.3118.4
Auto18.3
Teleop95.9
End7.8
Second
2895
#39
118.41.6
103.6105.2
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End14.2
red by 4.9
4299
#28
113.51.8
106.7108.4
Auto14.1
Teleop86.1
End16.0
Third
115.52.0
104.2106.2
Auto18.3
Teleop88.5
End7.4
red by 16.7
335
#40
98.81.3
101.1102.5
Auto13.1
Teleop76.6
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed